diff --git a/matlab/dr_block.m b/matlab/dr_block.m index d5689682920c6e839670e7763ba12eeb4d49d05f..d8030be043930108a4f8928e6ef84d60741ac3b7 100644 --- a/matlab/dr_block.m +++ b/matlab/dr_block.m @@ -61,11 +61,18 @@ end %verbose = options_.verbosity; if options_.order > 1 error('2nd and 3rd order approximation not implemented with block option') +else + if options_.loglinear + error('The loglinear option is not yet supported in first order approximation for a block decomposed model'); + end end z = repmat(dr.ys,1,M_.maximum_lead + M_.maximum_lag + 1); zx = repmat([oo_.exo_simul oo_.exo_det_simul],M_.maximum_lead + M_.maximum_lag + 1, 1); - +if isempty(zx) + zx = [repmat(oo_.exo_steady_state',M_.maximum_lead + M_.maximum_lag + 1,1) repmat(oo_.exo_det_steady_state',M_.maximum_lead + M_.maximum_lag + 1,1)]; +end + if ~isfield(M_,'block_structure') error('Option ''block'' has not been specified') end diff --git a/matlab/dsge_likelihood.m b/matlab/dsge_likelihood.m index 49a27a7eced310ce413288858773474c6ed778a8..ae9babbc24c3abd21517cec0d58853b9a51d978d 100644 --- a/matlab/dsge_likelihood.m +++ b/matlab/dsge_likelihood.m @@ -670,7 +670,7 @@ singularity_has_been_detected = false; if ((kalman_algo==1) || (kalman_algo==3))% Multivariate Kalman Filter if no_missing_data_flag && ~DynareOptions.occbin.likelihood.status if DynareOptions.block - LIK = block_kalman_filter(T,R,Q,H,Pstar,Y,start,Z,kalman_tol,riccati_tol, Model.nz_state_var, Model.n_diag, Model.nobs_non_statevar); + [LIK,lik] = block_kalman_filter(T,R,Q,H,Pstar,Y,start,Z,kalman_tol,riccati_tol, Model.nz_state_var, Model.n_diag, Model.nobs_non_statevar); elseif DynareOptions.fast_kalman_filter if diffuse_periods %kalman_algo==3 requires no diffuse periods (stationary diff --git a/tests/Makefile.am b/tests/Makefile.am index 6307b4ff8f5a940e9c4cddd8f144452de1ac4e17..b43d6aa78eca96d2da35d8836faf3ac1433a41a7 100644 --- a/tests/Makefile.am +++ b/tests/Makefile.am @@ -294,6 +294,8 @@ MODFILES = \ kalman/lik_init/fs2000_lik_init_3.mod \ kalman/lik_init/fs2000_lik_init_4.mod \ kalman/lik_init/fs2000_lik_init_5.mod \ + kalman/block/fs2000.mod \ + kalman/block/fs2000_missing_data.mod \ kalman_initial_state/fs2000_smoother_only_initial_state.mod \ kalman_initial_state/fs2000_ns_smoother_only_initial_state.mod \ kalman_initial_state/fs2000_kalman_initial.mod \ diff --git a/tests/kalman/block/fs2000.mod b/tests/kalman/block/fs2000.mod new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..f434b22ffb5fd81a1513e8aa0d4130db7062c815 --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/kalman/block/fs2000.mod @@ -0,0 +1,84 @@ +// See fs2000.mod in the examples/ directory for details on the model + +var m P c e W R k d n l gy_obs gp_obs y dA; +varexo e_a e_m; + +parameters alp bet gam mst rho psi del; + +alp = 0.33; +bet = 0.99; +gam = 0.003; +mst = 1.011; +rho = 0.7; +psi = 0.787; +del = 0.02; + +model(block); +dA = exp(gam+e_a); +log(m) = (1-rho)*log(mst) + rho*log(m(-1))+e_m; +-P/(c(+1)*P(+1)*m)+bet*P(+1)*(alp*exp(-alp*(gam+log(e(+1))))*k^(alp-1)*n(+1)^(1-alp)+(1-del)*exp(-(gam+log(e(+1)))))/(c(+2)*P(+2)*m(+1))=0; +W = l/n; +-(psi/(1-psi))*(c*P/(1-n))+l/n = 0; +R = P*(1-alp)*exp(-alp*(gam+e_a))*k(-1)^alp*n^(-alp)/W; +1/(c*P)-bet*P*(1-alp)*exp(-alp*(gam+e_a))*k(-1)^alp*n^(1-alp)/(m*l*c(+1)*P(+1)) = 0; +c+k = exp(-alp*(gam+e_a))*k(-1)^alp*n^(1-alp)+(1-del)*exp(-(gam+e_a))*k(-1); +P*c = m; +m-1+d = l; +e = exp(e_a); +y = k(-1)^alp*n^(1-alp)*exp(-alp*(gam+e_a)); +gy_obs = dA*y/y(-1); +gp_obs = (P/P(-1))*m(-1)/dA; +end; + +steady_state_model; + dA = exp(gam); + gst = 1/dA; + m = mst; + khst = ( (1-gst*bet*(1-del)) / (alp*gst^alp*bet) )^(1/(alp-1)); + xist = ( ((khst*gst)^alp - (1-gst*(1-del))*khst)/mst )^(-1); + nust = psi*mst^2/( (1-alp)*(1-psi)*bet*gst^alp*khst^alp ); + n = xist/(nust+xist); + P = xist + nust; + k = khst*n; + + l = psi*mst*n/( (1-psi)*(1-n) ); + c = mst/P; + d = l - mst + 1; + y = k^alp*n^(1-alp)*gst^alp; + R = mst/bet; + W = l/n; + ist = y-c; + q = 1 - d; + + e = 1; + + gp_obs = m/dA; + gy_obs = dA; +end; + +shocks; +var e_a; stderr 0.014; +var e_m; stderr 0.005; +end; + +steady; + +check; + +estimated_params; +alp, beta_pdf, 0.356, 0.02; +bet, beta_pdf, 0.993, 0.002; +gam, normal_pdf, 0.0085, 0.003; +mst, normal_pdf, 1.0002, 0.007; +rho, beta_pdf, 0.129, 0.223; +psi, beta_pdf, 0.65, 0.05; +del, beta_pdf, 0.01, 0.005; +stderr e_a, inv_gamma_pdf, 0.035449, inf; +stderr e_m, inv_gamma_pdf, 0.008862, inf; +end; + +varobs gp_obs gy_obs; + +options_.solve_tolf = 1e-12; + +estimation(order=1,datafile='../../fs2000/fsdat_simul',nobs=192,mh_replic=0,mh_nblocks=1,mh_jscale=0.8,consider_only_observed); \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/tests/kalman/block/fs2000_missing_data.mod b/tests/kalman/block/fs2000_missing_data.mod new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..384106ec2dac235ab0d0f962ebbbe469f7709b60 --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/kalman/block/fs2000_missing_data.mod @@ -0,0 +1,83 @@ +// Tests kalman filter with missing observations + +var m P c e W R k d n l gy_obs gp_obs y dA; +varexo e_a e_m; + +parameters alp bet gam mst rho psi del; + +alp = 0.33; +bet = 0.99; +gam = 0.003; +mst = 1.011; +rho = 0.7; +psi = 0.787; +del = 0.02; + +model(block); +dA = exp(gam+e_a); +log(m) = (1-rho)*log(mst) + rho*log(m(-1))+e_m; +-P/(c(+1)*P(+1)*m)+bet*P(+1)*(alp*exp(-alp*(gam+log(e(+1))))*k^(alp-1)*n(+1)^(1-alp)+(1-del)*exp(-(gam+log(e(+1)))))/(c(+2)*P(+2)*m(+1))=0; +W = l/n; +-(psi/(1-psi))*(c*P/(1-n))+l/n = 0; +R = P*(1-alp)*exp(-alp*(gam+e_a))*k(-1)^alp*n^(-alp)/W; +1/(c*P)-bet*P*(1-alp)*exp(-alp*(gam+e_a))*k(-1)^alp*n^(1-alp)/(m*l*c(+1)*P(+1)) = 0; +c+k = exp(-alp*(gam+e_a))*k(-1)^alp*n^(1-alp)+(1-del)*exp(-(gam+e_a))*k(-1); +P*c = m; +m-1+d = l; +e = exp(e_a); +y = k(-1)^alp*n^(1-alp)*exp(-alp*(gam+e_a)); +gy_obs = dA*y/y(-1); +gp_obs = (P/P(-1))*m(-1)/dA; +end; + +steady_state_model; + dA = exp(gam); + gst = 1/dA; + m = mst; + khst = ( (1-gst*bet*(1-del)) / (alp*gst^alp*bet) )^(1/(alp-1)); + xist = ( ((khst*gst)^alp - (1-gst*(1-del))*khst)/mst )^(-1); + nust = psi*mst^2/( (1-alp)*(1-psi)*bet*gst^alp*khst^alp ); + n = xist/(nust+xist); + P = xist + nust; + k = khst*n; + + l = psi*mst*n/( (1-psi)*(1-n) ); + c = mst/P; + d = l - mst + 1; + y = k^alp*n^(1-alp)*gst^alp; + R = mst/bet; + W = l/n; + ist = y-c; + q = 1 - d; + + e = 1; + + gp_obs = m/dA; + gy_obs = dA; +end; + + +shocks; +var e_a; stderr 0.014; +var e_m; stderr 0.005; +end; + +steady; + +check; + +estimated_params; +alp, beta_pdf, 0.356, 0.02; +bet, beta_pdf, 0.993, 0.002; +gam, normal_pdf, 0.0085, 0.003; +mst, normal_pdf, 1.0002, 0.007; +rho, beta_pdf, 0.129, 0.223; +psi, beta_pdf, 0.65, 0.05; +del, beta_pdf, 0.01, 0.005; +stderr e_a, inv_gamma_pdf, 0.035449, inf; +stderr e_m, inv_gamma_pdf, 0.008862, inf; +end; + +varobs gp_obs gy_obs; + +estimation(order=1, datafile='../../fs2000/fsdat_simul_missing_obs', nobs=192, mh_replic=0, mh_nblocks=1, mh_jscale=0.8); \ No newline at end of file