From b5ec670297bcb3d121eb2d0e3d2ca131ed3ba42a Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: Johannes Pfeifer <jpfeifer@gmx.de> Date: Tue, 19 Mar 2013 21:17:40 +0100 Subject: [PATCH] Add unit test for correlated measurement error Tests both ML and Bayesian estimation and test calibrated correlation of those shocks (cherry picked from commit 0311c4add48a81af7b01ca91dbdc9909669b1688) --- .../fs2000_corr_me_ml_mcmc/fs2000_corr_ME.mod | 125 ++++++++++++++++++ 1 file changed, 125 insertions(+) create mode 100644 tests/measurement_errors/fs2000_corr_me_ml_mcmc/fs2000_corr_ME.mod diff --git a/tests/measurement_errors/fs2000_corr_me_ml_mcmc/fs2000_corr_ME.mod b/tests/measurement_errors/fs2000_corr_me_ml_mcmc/fs2000_corr_ME.mod new file mode 100644 index 000000000..70477f2a2 --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/measurement_errors/fs2000_corr_me_ml_mcmc/fs2000_corr_ME.mod @@ -0,0 +1,125 @@ +/* + * This file is based on the cash in advance model described + * Frank Schorfheide (2000): "Loss function-based evaluation of DSGE models", + * Journal of Applied Econometrics, 15(6), 645-670. + * + * The equations are taken from J. Nason and T. Cogley (1994): "Testing the + * implications of long-run neutrality for monetary business cycle models", + * Journal of Applied Econometrics, 9, S37-S70. + * Note that there is an initial minus sign missing in equation (A1), p. S63. + * + * This implementation was written by Michel Juillard. Please note that the + * following copyright notice only applies to this Dynare implementation of the + * model. + */ + +/* + * Copyright (C) 2004-2013 Dynare Team + * + * This file is part of Dynare. + * + * Dynare is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify + * it under the terms of the GNU General Public License as published by + * the Free Software Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or + * (at your option) any later version. + * + * Dynare is distributed in the hope that it will be useful, + * but WITHOUT ANY WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of + * MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. See the + * GNU General Public License for more details. + * + * You should have received a copy of the GNU General Public License + * along with Dynare. If not, see <http://www.gnu.org/licenses/>. + */ + +var m P c e W R k d n l gy_obs gp_obs y dA; +varexo e_a e_m; + +parameters alp bet gam mst rho psi del theta; + +alp = 0.33; +bet = 0.99; +gam = 0.003; +mst = 1.011; +rho = 0.7; +psi = 0.787; +del = 0.02; +theta=0; + +model; +dA = exp(gam+e_a); +log(m) = (1-rho)*log(mst) + rho*log(m(-1))+e_m; +-P/(c(+1)*P(+1)*m)+bet*P(+1)*(alp*exp(-alp*(gam+log(e(+1))))*k^(alp-1)*n(+1)^(1-alp)+(1-del)*exp(-(gam+log(e(+1)))))/(c(+2)*P(+2)*m(+1))=0; +W = l/n; +-(psi/(1-psi))*(c*P/(1-n))+l/n = 0; +R = P*(1-alp)*exp(-alp*(gam+e_a))*k(-1)^alp*n^(-alp)/W; +1/(c*P)-bet*P*(1-alp)*exp(-alp*(gam+e_a))*k(-1)^alp*n^(1-alp)/(m*l*c(+1)*P(+1)) = 0; +c+k = exp(-alp*(gam+e_a))*k(-1)^alp*n^(1-alp)+(1-del)*exp(-(gam+e_a))*k(-1); +P*c = m; +m-1+d = l; +e = exp(e_a); +y = k(-1)^alp*n^(1-alp)*exp(-alp*(gam+e_a)); +gy_obs = dA*y/y(-1); +gp_obs = (P/P(-1))*m(-1)/dA; +end; + +initval; +k = 6; +m = mst; +P = 2.25; +c = 0.45; +e = 1; +W = 4; +R = 1.02; +d = 0.85; +n = 0.19; +l = 0.86; +y = 0.6; +gy_obs = exp(gam); +gp_obs = exp(-gam); +dA = exp(gam); +end; + +varobs gp_obs gy_obs; + +shocks; +var e_a; stderr 0.014; +var e_m; stderr 0.005; +corr gy_obs,gp_obs = 0.5; +end; + +steady; + + +estimated_params; +alp, 0.356; +gam, 0.0085; +del, 0.01; +stderr e_a, 0.035449; +stderr e_m, 0.008862; +corr e_m, e_a, 0; +stderr gp_obs, 1; +stderr gy_obs, 1; +corr gp_obs, gy_obs,0; +end; + +options_.TeX=1; +estimation(mode_compute=9,order=1,datafile=fsdat_simul,mode_check,smoother,filter_decomposition,forecast = 8,filtered_vars,filter_step_ahead=[1,3],irf=20) m P c e W R k d y gy_obs; + + + +estimated_params; +//alp, beta_pdf, 0.356, 0.02; +gam, normal_pdf, 0.0085, 0.003; +//del, beta_pdf, 0.01, 0.005; +stderr e_a, inv_gamma_pdf, 0.035449, inf; +stderr e_m, inv_gamma_pdf, 0.008862, inf; +corr e_m, e_a, normal_pdf, 0, 0.2; +stderr gp_obs, inv_gamma_pdf, 0.001, inf; +//stderr gy_obs, inv_gamma_pdf, 0.001, inf; +//corr gp_obs, gy_obs,normal_pdf, 0, 0.2; +end; + +estimation(mode_compute=0,mode_file=fs2000_corr_ME_mh_mode,order=1,datafile=fsdat_simul,mode_check,smoother,filter_decomposition,mh_replic=2000, mh_nblocks=2, mh_jscale=0.8,forecast = 8,bayesian_irf,filtered_vars,filter_step_ahead=[1,3],irf=20) m P c e W R k d y; +shock_decomposition y W R; +//identification(advanced=1,max_dim_cova_group=3,prior_mc=250); -- GitLab