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41 results

covariance_mc_analysis.m

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  • covariance_mc_analysis.m 5.21 KiB
    function oo_ = covariance_mc_analysis(NumberOfSimulations,type,dname,fname,vartan,nvar,var1,var2,mh_conf_sig,oo_)
    % This function analyses the (posterior or prior) distribution of the
    % endogenous variables' covariance matrix.
    % 
    % INPUTS
    %   NumberOfSimulations     [integer]           scalar, number of simulations.
    %   type                    [string]            'prior' or 'posterior'
    %   dname                   [string]            directory name where to save
    %   fname                   [string]            name of the mod-file
    %   vartan                  [char]              array of characters (with nvar rows).
    %   nvar                    [integer]           nvar is the number of stationary variables.
    %   var1                    [string]            name of the first variable
    %   var2                    [string]            name of the second variable
    %   mh_conf_sig             [double]            2 by 1 vector with upper
    %                                               and lower bound of HPD intervals
    %   oo_                     [structure]         Dynare structure where the results are saved.
    %
    % OUTPUTS
    %   oo_                     [structure]        Dynare structure where the results are saved.
    
    % Copyright (C) 2008-2015 Dynare Team
    %
    % This file is part of Dynare.
    %
    % Dynare is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify
    % it under the terms of the GNU General Public License as published by
    % the Free Software Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or
    % (at your option) any later version.
    %
    % Dynare is distributed in the hope that it will be useful,
    % but WITHOUT ANY WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of
    % MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE.  See the
    % GNU General Public License for more details.
    %
    % You should have received a copy of the GNU General Public License
    % along with Dynare.  If not, see <http://www.gnu.org/licenses/>.
    
    if strcmpi(type,'posterior')
        TYPE = 'Posterior';
        PATH = [dname '/metropolis/'];
    else
        TYPE = 'Prior';
        PATH = [dname '/prior/moments/'];
    end
    
    indx1 = check_name(vartan,var1);
    if isempty(indx1)
        disp([ type '_analysis:: ' var1 ' is not a stationary endogenous variable!'])
        return
    end
    if ~isempty(var2)
        indx2 = check_name(vartan,var2);
        if isempty(indx2)
            disp([ type '_analysis:: ' var2 ' is not a stationary endogenous variable!'])
            return
        end
    else
        indx2 = indx1;
        var2 = var1;
    end
    
    if isfield(oo_,[ TYPE 'TheoreticalMoments'])
        eval(['temporary_structure = oo_.' TYPE 'TheoreticalMoments;'])   
        if isfield(temporary_structure,'dsge')
            eval(['temporary_structure = oo_.' TYPE 'TheoreticalMoments.dsge;'])
            if isfield(temporary_structure,'covariance')
                eval(['temporary_structure = oo_.' TYPE 'TheoreticalMoments.dsge.covariance.Mean;'])
                if isfield(temporary_structure,var1)
                    eval(['temporary_structure_1 = oo_.' TYPE 'TheoreticalMoments.dsge.covariance.Mean.' var1 ';'])
                    if isfield(temporary_structure_1,var2)
                        % Nothing to do (the covariance matrix is symmetric!).
                        return
                    end
                else
                    if isfield(temporary_structure,var2)
                        eval(['temporary_structure_2 = oo_.' TYPE 'TheoreticalMoments.dsge.covariance.Mean.' var2 ';'])
                        if isfield(temporary_structure_2,var1)
                            % Nothing to do (the covariance matrix is symmetric!).
                            return
                        end
                    end
                end
            end
        end
    end
    
    ListOfFiles = dir([ PATH  fname '_' TYPE '2ndOrderMoments*.mat']);
    i1 = 1; tmp = zeros(NumberOfSimulations,1);
    for file = 1:length(ListOfFiles)
        load([ PATH ListOfFiles(file).name ]);
        i2 = i1 + rows(Covariance_matrix) - 1;
        tmp(i1:i2) = Covariance_matrix(:,symmetric_matrix_index(indx1,indx2,nvar));
        i1 = i2+1;
    end
    name = [var1 '.' var2];
    if ~isconst(tmp)
        [p_mean, p_median, p_var, hpd_interval, p_deciles, density] = ...
            posterior_moments(tmp,1,mh_conf_sig);
        eval(['oo_.' TYPE 'TheoreticalMoments.dsge.covariance.Mean.' name ' = p_mean;']);
        eval(['oo_.' TYPE 'TheoreticalMoments.dsge.covariance.Median.' name ' = p_median;']);
        eval(['oo_.' TYPE 'TheoreticalMoments.dsge.covariance.Variance.' name ' = p_var;']);
        eval(['oo_.' TYPE 'TheoreticalMoments.dsge.covariance.HPDinf.' name ' = hpd_interval(1);']);
        eval(['oo_.' TYPE 'TheoreticalMoments.dsge.covariance.HPDsup.' name ' = hpd_interval(2);']);
        eval(['oo_.' TYPE 'TheoreticalMoments.dsge.covariance.deciles.' name ' = p_deciles;']);
        eval(['oo_.' TYPE 'TheoreticalMoments.dsge.covariance.density.' name ' = density;']);
    else
        eval(['oo_.' TYPE 'TheoreticalMoments.dsge.covariance.Mean.' name ' = NaN;']);
        eval(['oo_.' TYPE 'TheoreticalMoments.dsge.covariance.Median.' name ' = NaN;']);
        eval(['oo_.' TYPE 'TheoreticalMoments.dsge.covariance.Variance.' name ' = NaN;']);
        eval(['oo_.' TYPE 'TheoreticalMoments.dsge.covariance.HPDinf.' name ' = NaN;']);
        eval(['oo_.' TYPE 'TheoreticalMoments.dsge.covariance.HPDsup.' name ' = NaN;']);
        eval(['oo_.' TYPE 'TheoreticalMoments.dsge.covariance.deciles.' name ' = NaN;']);
        eval(['oo_.' TYPE 'TheoreticalMoments.dsge.covariance.density.' name ' = NaN;']);
    end