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dynare.m

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  • model_diagnostics.m 12.46 KiB
    function model_diagnostics(M_,options_,oo_)
    % function model_diagnostics(M_,options_,oo_)
    %   computes various diagnostics on the model
    % INPUTS
    %   M_         [matlab structure] Definition of the model.
    %   options_   [matlab structure] Global options.
    %   oo_        [matlab structure] Results
    %
    % OUTPUTS
    %   none
    %
    % ALGORITHM
    %   ...
    %
    % SPECIAL REQUIREMENTS
    %   none.
    %
    
    % Copyright © 1996-2023 Dynare Team
    %
    % This file is part of Dynare.
    %
    % Dynare is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify
    % it under the terms of the GNU General Public License as published by
    % the Free Software Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or
    % (at your option) any later version.
    %
    % Dynare is distributed in the hope that it will be useful,
    % but WITHOUT ANY WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of
    % MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE.  See the
    % GNU General Public License for more details.
    %
    % You should have received a copy of the GNU General Public License
    % along with Dynare.  If not, see <https://www.gnu.org/licenses/>.
    
    endo_names = M_.endo_names;
    lead_lag_incidence = M_.lead_lag_incidence;
    maximum_endo_lag = M_.maximum_endo_lag;
    
    if options_.ramsey_policy
        %test whether specification matches
        inst_nbr = size(options_.instruments,1);
        if inst_nbr~=0
            implied_inst_nbr = M_.ramsey_orig_endo_nbr - M_.ramsey_orig_eq_nbr;
            if inst_nbr>implied_inst_nbr
                warning('You have specified more steady state instruments than there are omitted equations. While there are use cases for this setup, it is rather unusual. Check whether this is desired.')
            elseif inst_nbr<implied_inst_nbr
                warning('You have specified fewer steady state instruments than there are omitted equations. While there are use cases for this setup, it is rather unusual. Check whether this is desired.')
            end
        else
            if options_.steadystate_flag
                warning('You have specified a steady state file, but not provided steady state instruments. In this case, you typically need to make sure to provide all steady state values, including the ones for the planner''s instrument(s).')
            end
        end
    end
    
    problem_dummy=0;
    
    %naming conflict in steady state file
    if options_.steadystate_flag == 1
        if strmatch('ys',M_.endo_names,'exact') 
            disp('MODEL_DIAGNOSTICS: using the name ys for an endogenous variable will typically conflict with the internal naming in user-defined steady state files.')
            problem_dummy=1;
        end
        if strmatch('ys',M_.param_names,'exact')
            disp('MODEL_DIAGNOSTICS: using the name ys for a parameter will typically conflict with the internal naming in user-defined steady state files.')
            problem_dummy=1;
        end
        if strmatch('M_',M_.endo_names,'exact') 
            disp('MODEL_DIAGNOSTICS: using the name M_ for an endogenous variable will typically conflict with the internal naming in user-defined steady state files.')
            problem_dummy=1;
        end
        if strmatch('M_',M_.param_names,'exact')
            disp('MODEL_DIAGNOSTICS: using the name M_ for a parameter will typically conflict with the internal naming in user-defined steady state files.')
            problem_dummy=1;
        end
    end
    
    %
    % missing variables at the current period
    %
    k = find(lead_lag_incidence(maximum_endo_lag+1,:)==0);
    if ~isempty(k)
        problem_dummy=1;
        disp(['MODEL_DIAGNOSTICS: The following endogenous variables aren''t present at ' ...
              'the current period in the model:'])
        for i=1:length(k)
            disp(endo_names{k(i)})
        end
    end
    
    %
    % check steady state
    %
    info = 0;
    
    if M_.exo_nbr == 0
        oo_.exo_steady_state = [] ;
    end
    
    
    info=test_for_deep_parameters_calibration(M_);
    if info
        problem_dummy=1;
    end
    
    % check if ys is steady state
    options_.debug=true; %locally set debug option to true
    if options_.logged_steady_state %if steady state was previously logged, undo this
        oo_.dr.ys=exp(oo_.dr.ys);
        oo_.steady_state=exp(oo_.steady_state);
        options_.logged_steady_state=0;
    end
    [dr.ys,M_.params,check1]=evaluate_steady_state(oo_.steady_state,[oo_.exo_steady_state; oo_.exo_det_steady_state],M_,options_,~options_.steadystate.nocheck);
    
    if isfield(M_,'occbin')
        if any(oo_.exo_steady_state)
            disp('MODEL_DIAGNOSTICS: OccBin was detected in conjunction with a non-zero steady state of the exogenous variables. That will usually create issues.')
            problem_dummy=1;
        end
    end
    % testing for problem
    if check1(1)
        problem_dummy=1;
        disp('MODEL_DIAGNOSTICS: The steady state cannot be computed')
        if any(isnan(dr.ys))
            disp('MODEL_DIAGNOSTICS: Steady state contains NaNs')
        end
        if any(isinf(dr.ys))
            disp('MODEL_DIAGNOSTICS: Steady state contains Inf')
        end
        return
    end
    
    if ~isreal(dr.ys)
        problem_dummy=1;
        disp(['MODEL_DIAGNOSTICS: Steady state contains complex ' ...
              'numbers'])
        return
    end
    
    %
    % singular Jacobian of static model
    %
    singularity_problem = 0;
    if ~options_.block
        nb = 1;
    else
        nb = length(M_.block_structure_stat.block);
    end
    
    exo = [oo_.exo_steady_state; oo_.exo_det_steady_state];
    for b=1:nb
        if options_.bytecode
            if nb == 1
                [~, jacob] = bytecode(M_, options_, dr.ys, exo, M_.params, dr.ys, 1, exo, ...
                                        'evaluate', 'static');
            else
                [~, jacob] = bytecode(M_, options_, dr.ys, exo, M_.params, dr.ys, 1, exo, ...
                                        'evaluate', 'static', 'block_decomposed', ['block=' ...
                                    int2str(b)]);
            end
            n_vars_jacob=size(jacob,2);
        else
            if options_.block
                T = NaN(M_.block_structure_stat.tmp_nbr, 1);
                fh_static = str2func(sprintf('%s.sparse.block.static_%d', M_.fname, b));
                [~, ~,~, jacob] = fh_static(dr.ys, exo, M_.params, M_.block_structure_stat.block(b).g1_sparse_rowval, ...
                    M_.block_structure_stat.block(b).g1_sparse_colval, ...
                    M_.block_structure_stat.block(b).g1_sparse_colptr, T);
                n_vars_jacob=size(jacob,2);
            else
                [~, T_order, T] = feval([M_.fname '.sparse.static_resid'], dr.ys, exo, M_.params);
                jacob = feval([M_.fname '.sparse.static_g1'], dr.ys, exo, M_.params, M_.static_g1_sparse_rowval, M_.static_g1_sparse_colval, M_.static_g1_sparse_colptr, T_order, T);
                n_vars_jacob=M_.endo_nbr;
            end
            jacob=full(jacob);
        end
        if any(any(isinf(jacob) | isnan(jacob)))
            problem_dummy=1;
            [infrow,infcol]=find(isinf(jacob) | isnan(jacob));
            fprintf('\nMODEL_DIAGNOSTICS: The Jacobian of the static model contains Inf or NaN. The problem arises from: \n\n')
            display_problematic_vars_Jacobian(infrow,infcol,M_,dr.ys,'static','MODEL_DIAGNOSTICS: ')
        end
        if any(any(~isreal(jacob)))
            problem_dummy=1;
            [imagrow,imagcol]=find(abs(imag(jacob))>1e-15);
            fprintf('\nMODEL_DIAGNOSTICS: The Jacobian of the static model contains imaginary parts. The problem arises from: \n\n')
            display_problematic_vars_Jacobian(imagrow,imagcol,M_,dr.ys,'static','MODEL_DIAGNOSTICS: ')
        end
        try
            if (~isoctave && matlab_ver_less_than('9.12')) || isempty(options_.jacobian_tolerance)
                rank_jacob = rank(jacob); %can sometimes fail
            else
                rank_jacob = rank(jacob,options_.jacobian_tolerance); %can sometimes fail
            end
        catch
            rank_jacob=size(jacob,1);
        end
        if rank_jacob < size(jacob,1)
            problem_dummy=1;
            singularity_problem = 1;
            disp(['MODEL_DIAGNOSTICS:  The Jacobian of the static model is ' ...
                  'singular'])
            disp(['MODEL_DIAGNOSTICS:  there is ' num2str(n_vars_jacob-rank_jacob) ...
                  ' collinear relationships between the variables and the equations'])
            if (~isoctave && matlab_ver_less_than('9.12')) || isempty(options_.jacobian_tolerance)
                ncol = null(jacob);
            else
                ncol = null(jacob,options_.jacobian_tolerance); %can sometimes fail
            end
            n_rel = size(ncol,2);
            for i = 1:n_rel
                if n_rel  > 1
                    disp(['Relation ' int2str(i)])
                end
                disp('Collinear variables:')
                for j=1:10
                    k = find(abs(ncol(:,i)) > 10^-j);
                    if max(abs(jacob(:,k)*ncol(k,i))) < 1e-6
                        break
                    end
                end
                if options_.block && ~options_.bytecode
                    fprintf('%s\n',endo_names{M_.block_structure_stat.block(b).variable(k)})
                else
                    fprintf('%s\n',endo_names{k})
                end
            end
            if (~isoctave && matlab_ver_less_than('9.12')) || isempty(options_.jacobian_tolerance)
                neq = null(jacob'); %can sometimes fail
            else
                neq = null(jacob',options_.jacobian_tolerance); %can sometimes fail
            end
            n_rel = size(neq,2);
            for i = 1:n_rel
                if n_rel  > 1
                    disp(['Relation ' int2str(i)])
                end
                disp('Collinear equations')
                for j=1:10
                    k = find(abs(neq(:,i)) > 10^-j);
                    if max(abs(jacob(k,:)'*neq(k,i))) < 1e-6
                        break
                    end
                end
                if options_.block && ~options_.bytecode
                    disp(M_.block_structure_stat.block(b).equation(k))
                else
                    disp(k')
                end
            end
        end
    end
    
    if singularity_problem
        try
            options_check=options_;
            options_check.noprint=1;
            [eigenvalues_] = check(M_, options_check, oo_);
            if any(abs(abs(eigenvalues_)-1)<1e-6)
                fprintf('MODEL_DIAGNOSTICS:  The singularity seems to be (partly) caused by the presence of a unit root\n')
                fprintf('MODEL_DIAGNOSTICS:  as the absolute value of one eigenvalue is in the range of +-1e-6 to 1.\n')
                fprintf('MODEL_DIAGNOSTICS:  If the model is actually supposed to feature unit root behavior, such a warning is expected,\n')
                fprintf('MODEL_DIAGNOSTICS:  but you should nevertheless check whether there is an additional singularity problem.\n')
            end
        catch
        end
        fprintf('MODEL_DIAGNOSTICS:  The presence of a singularity problem typically indicates that there is one\n')
        fprintf('MODEL_DIAGNOSTICS:  redundant equation entered in the model block, while another non-redundant equation\n')
        fprintf('MODEL_DIAGNOSTICS:  is missing. The problem often derives from Walras Law.\n')
    end
    
    %%check dynamic Jacobian
    klen = M_.maximum_lag + M_.maximum_lead + 1;
    exo_simul = [repmat(oo_.exo_steady_state',klen,1) repmat(oo_.exo_det_steady_state',klen,1)];
    iyv = M_.lead_lag_incidence';
    iyv = iyv(:);
    iyr0 = find(iyv) ;
    it_ = M_.maximum_lag + 1;
    z = repmat(dr.ys,1,klen);
    
    if options_.order == 1
        if (options_.bytecode)
            [~, loc_dr] = bytecode('dynamic','evaluate', M_, options_, z, exo_simul, ...
                                   M_.params, dr.ys, 1);
            jacobia_ = [loc_dr.g1 loc_dr.g1_x loc_dr.g1_xd];
        else
            [~,jacobia_] = feval([M_.fname '.dynamic'],z(iyr0),exo_simul, ...
                                 M_.params, dr.ys, it_);
        end
    elseif options_.order >= 2
        if (options_.bytecode)
            [~, loc_dr] = bytecode('dynamic','evaluate', M_, options_, z, exo_simul, ...
                                   M_.params, dr.ys, 1);
            jacobia_ = [loc_dr.g1 loc_dr.g1_x];
        else
            [~,jacobia_,hessian1] = feval([M_.fname '.dynamic'],z(iyr0),...
                                          exo_simul, ...
                                          M_.params, dr.ys, it_);
        end
    end
    
    if any(any(isinf(jacobia_) | isnan(jacobia_)))
        problem_dummy=1;
        [infrow,infcol]=find(isinf(jacobia_) | isnan(jacobia_));
        fprintf('\nMODEL_DIAGNOSTICS: The Jacobian of the dynamic model contains Inf or NaN. The problem arises from: \n\n')
        display_problematic_vars_Jacobian(infrow,infcol,M_,dr.ys,'dynamic','MODEL_DIAGNOSTICS: ')
    end
    if any(any(~isreal(jacobia_)))
        [imagrow,imagcol]=find(abs(imag(jacobia_))>1e-15);
        if ~isempty(imagrow)
            problem_dummy=1;
            fprintf('\nMODEL_DIAGNOSTICS: The Jacobian of the dynamic model contains imaginary parts. The problem arises from: \n\n')
            display_problematic_vars_Jacobian(imagrow,imagcol,M_,dr.ys,'dynamic','MODEL_DIAGNOSTICS: ')
        end
    end
    if exist('hessian1','var')
        if any(any(isinf(hessian1) | isnan(hessian1)))
            problem_dummy=1;
            fprintf('\nMODEL_DIAGNOSTICS: The Hessian of the dynamic model contains Inf or NaN.\n')
        end
    end
    
    if problem_dummy==0
        fprintf('MODEL_DIAGNOSTICS:  No obvious problems with this mod-file were detected.\n')
    end