algebra at the beginning of conditional_forecast
In the algebraic description of conditional_forecast
in section 4.20 of the manual, lagged uncontrolled endogenous variables are missing
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- MichelJuillard changed milestone to %6.x
changed milestone to %6.x
- MichelJuillard added documentation label
added documentation label
- Owner
@MichelJuillard I don't really understand this section and I can't remember if I wrote this part. I will rewrite it.
- Stéphane Adjemian assigned to @stepan-a
assigned to @stepan-a
- Author Developer
I think that the algebra should be something like that:
\begin{itemize} \item<+-> Solution function \[ y_t = A y_{t+1} + Bu_t \] \item<+-> Decompose in controlled and uncontrolled variables \[ \begin{bmatrix} y_{u,t}\\y_{c,t}\end{bmatrix} = \begin{bmatrix} A_{uu} & A_{uc}\\ A_{cu} & A_{cc} \end{bmatrix} \begin{bmatrix} y_{u,t-1}\\y_{c,t-1}\end{bmatrix} + \begin{bmatrix} B_{uu} & B_{uc}\\ B_{cu} & B_{cc} \end{bmatrix} \begin{bmatrix} u_{u,t}\\u_{c,t}\end{bmatrix} \] \item Solution \begin{align*} u_{c,t} = B_{cc}^{-1}\left[y_{c,t} - A_{cu}y_{u,t-1} - A_{cc}y_{c,t-1} - B_{cu}u_{u,t}\right]\\ y_{u,t} = A_{uu}y_{u,t-1} + A_{uc}y_{c,t-1} + B_{uu}u_{u,t} + B_{uc}u_{c,t} \end{align*} \end{itemize} ``
- Owner
Yes. I am not sure that we need to define explicitly
u_{c,t}, but we should definitely provide a correct partition of the system. - Developer
I wrote that part. The mistake in the current description is that it must be
T(𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑡𝑟_𝑣𝑎𝑟𝑠,:)𝑦_{𝑡−1}on the right. But a full description may be good. Note that it needs to be ported tomcforecast3.m
as well - Stéphane Adjemian closed with commit c9825c80
closed with commit c9825c80
- Sébastien Villemot mentioned in commit fb3dbb75
mentioned in commit fb3dbb75
- Stéphane Adjemian mentioned in commit c9825c80
mentioned in commit c9825c80
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