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Restore dynare_simul.m for Dynare++

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%
 
% SYNOPSIS
 
%
 
% r = dynare_simul(name, shocks)
 
% r = dynare_simul(name, prefix, shocks)
 
% r = dynare_simul(name, shocks, start)
 
% r = dynare_simul(name, prefix, shocks, start)
 
%
 
% name name of MAT-file produced by dynare++
 
% prefix prefix of variables in the MAT-file
 
% shocks matrix of shocks
 
% start zero period value
 
%
 
% Note that this file requires the dynare_simul_ DLL to be in the path.
 
% This DLL is distributed with Dynare, under the mex/matlab or mex/octave
 
% subdirectory.
 
%
 
% SEMANTICS
 
%
 
% The command reads a decision rule from the MAT-file having the given
 
% prefix. Then it starts simulating the decision rule with zero time value
 
% equal to the given start. It uses the given shocks for the simulation. If
 
% the start is not given, the state about which the decision rule is
 
% centralized is taken (called fix point, or stochastic steady state, take
 
% your pick).
 
%
 
% prefix Use the prefix with which you called dynare++, the default
 
% prefix in dynare++ is 'dyn'.
 
% shocks Number of rows must be a number of exogenous shocks,
 
% number of columns gives the number of simulated
 
% periods. NaNs and Infs in the matrix are substitued by
 
% draws from the normal distribution using the covariance
 
% matrix given in the model file.
 
% start Vector of endogenous variables in the ordering given by
 
% <prefix>_vars.
 
%
 
% Seed for random generator is derived from calling rand(1,1). Therefore,
 
% seeding can be controlled with rand('state') and rand('state',some_seed).
 
%
 
% EXAMPLES
 
%
 
% All examples suppose that the prefix is 'dyn' and that your_model.mat
 
% has been loaded into Matlab.
 
%
 
% 1. response to permanent negative shock to the third exo var EPS3 for
 
% 100 periods
 
%
 
% shocks = zeros(4,100); % 4 exogenous variables in the model
 
% shocks(dyn_i_EPS3,:) = -0.1; % the permanent shock to EPS3
 
% r = dynare_simul('your_model.mat',shocks);
 
%
 
% 2. one stochastic simulation for 100 periods
 
%
 
% shocks = zeros(4,100)./0; % put NaNs everywhere
 
% r = dynare_simul('your_model.mat',shocks);
 
%
 
% 3. one stochastic simulation starting at 75% undercapitalized economy
 
%
 
% shocks = zeros(4,100)./0; % put NaNs everywhere
 
% ystart = dyn_ss; % get copy of DR fix point
 
% ystart(dyn_i_K) = 0.75*dyn_ss(dyn_i_K); % scale down the capital
 
% r = dynare_simul('your_model.mat',shocks,ystart);
 
%
 
%
 
% SEE ALSO
 
%
 
% "DSGE Models with Dynare++. A Tutorial.", Ondra Kamenik, 2005
 
 
% Copyright (C) 2005-2011, Ondra Kamenik
 
% Copyright (C) 2020, Dynare Team
 
 
 
function r = dynare_simul(varargin)
 
 
if ~exist('dynare_simul_','file')
 
error('Can''t find dynare_simul_ DLL in the path. The simplest way to add it is to run Dynare once in this session.')
 
end
 
 
% get the file name and load data
 
fname = varargin{1};
 
load(fname);
 
 
% set prefix, shocks, ystart
 
if ischar(varargin{2})
 
prefix = varargin{2};
 
if length(varargin) == 3
 
shocks = varargin{3};
 
ystart = NaN;
 
elseif length(varargin) == 4
 
shocks = varargin{3};
 
ystart = varargin{4};
 
else
 
error('Wrong number of parameters.');
 
end
 
else
 
prefix = 'dyn';
 
if length(varargin) == 2
 
shocks = varargin{2};
 
ystart = NaN;
 
elseif length(varargin) == 3
 
shocks = varargin{2};
 
ystart = varargin{3};
 
else
 
error('Wrong number of parameters.');
 
end
 
end
 
 
% load all needed variables but prefix_g_*
 
if exist([prefix '_nstat'],'var')
 
nstat = eval([prefix '_nstat']);
 
else
 
error(['Could not find variable ' prefix '_nstat in workspace']);
 
end
 
if exist([prefix '_npred'],'var')
 
npred = eval([prefix '_npred']);
 
else
 
error(['Could not find variable ' prefix '_npred in workspace']);
 
end
 
if exist([prefix '_nboth'],'var')
 
nboth = eval([prefix '_nboth']);
 
else
 
error(['Could not find variable ' prefix '_nboth in workspace']);
 
end
 
if exist([prefix '_nforw'],'var')
 
nforw = eval([prefix '_nforw']);
 
else
 
error(['Could not find variable ' prefix '_nforw in workspace']);
 
end
 
if exist([prefix '_ss'],'var')
 
ss = eval([prefix '_ss']);
 
else
 
error(['Could not find variable ' prefix '_ss in workspace']);
 
end
 
if exist([prefix '_vcov_exo'],'var')
 
vcov_exo = eval([prefix '_vcov_exo']);
 
else
 
error(['Could not find variable ' prefix '_vcov_exo in workspace']);
 
end
 
nexog = size(vcov_exo,1);
 
 
if isnan(ystart)
 
ystart = ss;
 
end
 
 
% newer version of dynare++ doesn't return prefix_g_0, we make it here if
 
% it does not exist in workspace
 
g_zero = [prefix '_g_0'];
 
if ~exist(g_zero,'var')
 
dr.g_0=zeros(nstat+npred+nboth+nforw,1);
 
else
 
dr.g_0=eval(g_zero);
 
end
 
 
% make derstr a string of comma seperated existing prefix_g_*
 
order = 1;
 
cont = 1;
 
while cont == 1
 
g_ord = [prefix '_g_' num2str(order)];
 
if exist(g_ord,'var')
 
dr.(['g_' num2str(order)])=eval(g_ord);
 
order = order + 1;
 
else
 
cont = 0;
 
end
 
end
 
 
% set seed
 
seed = ceil(10000*rand(1,1));
 
 
% call dynare_simul_
 
[err,r]=dynare_simul_(order-1,nstat,npred,nboth,nforw,...
 
nexog,ystart,shocks,vcov_exo,seed,ss,dr);
 
 
if err
 
error('Simulation failed')
 
end
 
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