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Stéphane Adjemian
dynare
Commits
e1b92dc5
Commit
e1b92dc5
authored
Oct 30, 2013
by
Johannes Pfeifer
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Add unit test for initialization from calibrated model
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07137e80
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tests/estimation/fs2000_initialize_from_calib.mod
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tests/estimation/fs2000_initialize_from_calib.mod
tests/estimation/fs2000_initialize_from_calib_steadystate.m
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tests/estimation/fs2000_initialize_from_calib_steadystate.m
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tests/estimation/fs2000_initialize_from_calib.mod
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//uses a prior mean for bet that does not allow solving the model. Then uses the calibrated value to initialize.
var m P c e W R k d n l gy_obs gp_obs y dA;
varexo e_a e_m e_f;
parameters alp bet gam mst rho psi del;
alp = 0.33;
bet = 0.99;
gam = 0.003;
mst = 1.011;
rho = 0.7;
psi = 0.787;
del = 0.02;
model;
dA = exp(gam+e_a);
log(m) = (1-rho)*log(mst) + rho*log(m(-1))+e_m;
-P/(c(+1)*P(+1)*m)+bet*P(+1)*(alp*exp(-alp*(gam+log(e(+1))))*k^(alp-1)*n(+1)^(1-alp)+(1-del)*exp(-(gam+log(e(+1)))))/(c(+2)*P(+2)*m(+1))=0;
W = l/n;
-(psi/(1-psi))*(c*P/(1-n))+l/n = 0;
R = P*(1-alp)*exp(-alp*(gam+e_a))*k(-1)^alp*n^(-alp)/W;
1/(c*P)-bet*P*(1-alp)*exp(-alp*(gam+e_a))*k(-1)^alp*n^(1-alp)/(m*l*c(+1)*P(+1)) = 0;
c+k = exp(-alp*(gam+e_a))*k(-1)^alp*n^(1-alp)+(1-del)*exp(-(gam+e_a))*k(-1);
P*c = m;
m-1+d = l;
e = exp(e_a);
y = k(-1)^alp*n^(1-alp)*exp(-alp*(gam+e_a));
gy_obs = dA*y/y(-1);
gp_obs = (P/P(-1))*m(-1)/dA;
end;
initval;
k = 6;
m = mst;
P = 2.25;
c = 0.45;
e = 1;
W = 4;
R = 1.02;
d = 0.85;
n = 0.19;
l = 0.86;
y = 0.6;
gy_obs = exp(gam);
gp_obs = exp(-gam);
dA = exp(gam);
end;
shocks;
var e_a; stderr 0.014;
var e_m; stderr 0.005;
var e_f; stderr 0.005;
corr gy_obs, gp_obs = 0.1;
end;
steady;
//check;
estimated_params;
alp, beta_pdf, 0.356, 0.02;
bet, normal_pdf, 2, 1;
gam, normal_pdf, 0.0085, 0.003;
mst, normal_pdf, 1.0002, 0.007;
rho, normal_pdf, 0.129, 0.223;
psi, beta_pdf, 0.65, 0.05;
del, beta_pdf, 0.01, 0.005;
stderr e_a, inv_gamma_pdf, 0.035449, inf;
stderr e_m, inv_gamma_pdf, 0.008862, inf;
corr e_a, e_m, normal_pdf, 0, 0.007;
corr e_a, e_f, normal_pdf, 0, 0.007;
stderr gp_obs, inv_gamma_pdf, 0.008862, inf;
corr gp_obs, gy_obs, normal_pdf, 0, 0.007;
end;
varobs gp_obs gy_obs;
estimated_params_init;
//stderr e_a, 0.014000;
//stderr e_m, 0.005000;
//stderr gp_obs, 0.1;
corr e_m, e_a, 0.1;
//corr gy_obs, gp_obs, 0.000000;
//alp, 0.330000;
//bet, 0.990000;
gam, 0.003000;
mst, 1.011000;
//rho, 0.900000;
psi, 0.787000;
del, 0.020000;
end;
options_.use_calibration_initialization=1;
options_.plot_priors=0;
estimation(order=1, datafile=fsdat_simul, nobs=192, loglinear, mh_replic=2000, mh_nblocks=1, mh_jscale=0.8,prior_trunc=0);
\ No newline at end of file
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tests/estimation/fs2000_initialize_from_calib_steadystate.m
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% computes the steady state of fs2000 analyticaly
% largely inspired by the program of F. Schorfheide
% Copyright (C) 2004-2010 Dynare Team
%
% This file is part of Dynare.
%
% Dynare is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify
% it under the terms of the GNU General Public License as published by
% the Free Software Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or
% (at your option) any later version.
%
% Dynare is distributed in the hope that it will be useful,
% but WITHOUT ANY WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of
% MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. See the
% GNU General Public License for more details.
%
% You should have received a copy of the GNU General Public License
% along with Dynare. If not, see <http://www.gnu.org/licenses/>.
function
[
ys
,
check
]
=
fs2000_steadystate
(
ys
,
exe
)
global
M_
alp
=
M_
.
params
(
1
);
bet
=
M_
.
params
(
2
);
gam
=
M_
.
params
(
3
);
mst
=
M_
.
params
(
4
);
rho
=
M_
.
params
(
5
);
psi
=
M_
.
params
(
6
);
del
=
M_
.
params
(
7
);
check
=
0
;
dA
=
exp
(
gam
);
gst
=
1
/
dA
;
m
=
mst
;
khst
=
(
(
1
-
gst
*
bet
*
(
1
-
del
))
/
(
alp
*
gst
^
alp
*
bet
)
)
^
(
1
/(
alp
-
1
));
xist
=
(
((
khst
*
gst
)
^
alp
-
(
1
-
gst
*
(
1
-
del
))
*
khst
)/
mst
)
^
(
-
1
);
nust
=
psi
*
mst
^
2
/(
(
1
-
alp
)
*
(
1
-
psi
)
*
bet
*
gst
^
alp
*
khst
^
alp
);
n
=
xist
/(
nust
+
xist
);
P
=
xist
+
nust
;
k
=
khst
*
n
;
l
=
psi
*
mst
*
n
/(
(
1
-
psi
)
*
(
1
-
n
)
);
c
=
mst
/
P
;
d
=
l
-
mst
+
1
;
y
=
k
^
alp
*
n
^
(
1
-
alp
)
*
gst
^
alp
;
R
=
mst
/
bet
;
W
=
l
/
n
;
ist
=
y
-
c
;
q
=
1
-
d
;
e
=
1
;
gp_obs
=
m
/
dA
;
gy_obs
=
dA
;
ys
=
[
m
P
c
e
W
R
k
d
n
l
gy_obs
gp_obs
y
dA
];
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